Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 10,883 9,008 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -2,214 -6,630 -12,540
Change - -17.23% -56.55% 15.2% -139.74% -223.55% -399.46% -289.14%
Announcement Date 1/28/20 1/29/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 817 816 825 874 785 822.5 976.3 1,070
Change - -0.12% 1.1% 5.94% -10.18% 4.78% 18.69% 9.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,276 6,000 5,010 4,348 5,530 3,799 8,220 9,525
Change - 163.62% -16.5% -13.21% 27.18% -31.31% 116.41% 15.86%
Announcement Date 1/28/20 1/29/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.49% 36.99% 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.33% 31.06% 31.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.71% 30.29% 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.12% 27.4% 28.54%
EBT Margin (%) 16.71% 26.4% 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.87% 25.27% 26.12%
Net margin (%) 12.08% 19.31% 19.33% 5.55% 19% 8.69% 17.3% 18.16%
FCF margin (%) 8.24% 21.94% 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 11.2% 21.82% 22.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 68.2% 113.64% 93.07% 253.68% 93.29% 128.95% 126.1% 124.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.93% 10.77% 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 4.79% 8.56% 9.59%
ROE 20.48% 21.14% 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 12.22% 15.89% 16.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.08x 0.89x 0.39x 0.45x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 4.78x 1.5x 0.78x 1.04x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.98% 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.43% 2.59% 2.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.1% 8.07% 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.88% 8.34% 7.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.9% 13.6% 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 21.65% 11.88% 11.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.929 6.085 5.261 4.805 5.352 3.975 7.691 9.043
Change - 107.78% -13.55% -8.67% 11.38% -25.73% 93.5% 17.58%
Dividend per Share 1 1.58 1.85 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.217 2.406 2.591
Change - 17.09% 5.41% 5.13% 7.32% 0.76% 8.53% 7.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 25.77 25.14 33.02 34.3 36.95 36.74 39.9 44.43
Change - -2.44% 31.34% 3.9% 7.7% -0.55% 8.59% 11.35%
EPS 1 2.8 4.35 4.46 1.96 5.17 2.523 5.652 6.59
Change - 55.36% 2.53% -56.05% 163.78% -51.21% 124.06% 16.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,193,650 1,190,824 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,166,222 1,166,222 1,166,222
Announcement Date 1/28/20 1/29/21 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 75.9x 33.9x
PBR 5.21x 4.8x
EV / Sales 6.52x 5.75x
Yield 1.16% 1.26%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
191.44EUR
Average target price
209.52EUR
Spread / Average Target
+9.44%
Consensus
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